That's a lot of chess moves, though, isn't it? I mean, first Kate had to get shot (Flocke didn't shoot her himself -- if he had, I might buy into this a bit more, but he had to bank on one of the goons shooting her.) Then Kate had to get onto the sub (easier to predict, knowing Jack and Sawyer, so OK
maybe I'll go along with this one.) But then Hurley had to not be able to find the First Aid Kit which was hanging right there on the wall behind Frank -- how could being a good chess player predict that? And then he has to know someone will pull the wires...
I like Spidey-Sense (Smokey-Sense?) better. (Yes, I know... mystical Spidey-Sense is as weird or weirder than being able to predict a series of events...

)